I just watched the film, "The Counselor" which had a great line, "That this is some sort of coincidence. Because they don't really believe
in coincidences. They've heard of them. They've just never seen one." No, we also don't believe in conspiracies....however it's kind of fun to read what some are thinking, no? Who knows, maybe this fellow is onto something....exactly what we're not quite sure.....and on that note enjoy the writings of Markus Aarnio who for SeekingAlpha writes:
Summary
- 5 insiders sold Intuit stock within one month.
- The stock was not purchased by any insiders in the month of intensive selling.
- 4 of these 5 insiders decreased their holdings by more than 10%.
Intuit (
INTU)
provides business and financial management solutions for small
businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals in the United
States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, India, and Singapore.
(click to enlarge)
Insider selling during the last 30 days
Here is a table of Intuit's insider activity during the last 30 days.
Name | Title | Trade Date | Shares Sold | Option Exercise & Sale | Rule 10b5-1 | Current Ownership | Decrease In Ownership |
Mark Flournoy | CAO | June 5 | 1,921 | Yes | No | 0 shares + 3,744 options | 33.9% |
Dan Maurer | SVP | June 3 | 75,000 | Yes | No | 17,265 shares + 112,812 options | 36.6% |
Sasan Goodarzi | SVP | May 22 | 2,111 | No | No | 3,179 shares | 39.9% |
Brad Smith | CEO | May 22 | 6,000 | No | Yes | 303,937 shares + 600,966 options | 0.7% |
Daniel Wernikoff | SVP | May 23 | 18,000 | Yes | No | 216 shares | 98.8% |
There
have been 103,032 shares sold by insiders during the last 30 days. Brad
Smith sold his shares pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 plan. More details
about the Rule 10b5-1 trading plan can be found from
this link.
Insider selling by calendar month
Here is a table of Intuit's
insider activity by calendar month.
Month | Insider selling / shares | Insider buying / shares |
June 2014 | 76,921 | 0 |
May 2014 | 26,111 | 0 |
April 2014 | 0 | 0 |
March 2014 | 10,000 | 0 |
February 2014 | 100,000 | 0 |
January 2014 | 0 | 0 |
December 2013 | 8,226 | 0 |
November 2013 | 49,000 | 0 |
October 2013 | 0 | 0 |
September 2013 | 195,632 | 0 |
August 2013 | 213,999 | 0 |
July 2013 | 0 | 0 |
June 2013 | 0 | 0 |
May 2013 | 0 | 0 |
April 2013 | 0 | 0 |
March 2013 | 22,782 | 0 |
February 2013 | 154,000 | 0 |
January 2013 | 0 | 0 |
There have been 856,671 shares sold and there have been zero shares purchased by insiders since January 2013.
Financials
Intuit reported the
fiscal 2014 third-quarter, which ended April 30, financial results on May 20 with the following highlights:
Revenue | $2.4 billion |
Net income | $984 million |
Cash | $2.6 billion |
Debt | $499 million |
The five insiders sold their shares after this report.
Outlook
Intuit's guidance is as follows:
| Q4/2014 | FY2014 |
Revenue | $683-$713 million | $4.475-$4.505 billion |
GAAP EPS | -$0.10 to -$0.12 | $3.08-$3.12 |
Competition
Intuit's
competitors include
Automatic Data Processing (
ADP), and
H&R Block (
HRB). Here is a table comparing these companies.
Company | INTU | ADP | HRB |
Market Cap: | 22.72B | 38.38B | 8.31B |
Employees: | 8,000 | 60,000 | 2,200 |
Qtrly Rev Growth (yoy): | 0.14 | 0.07 | -0.58 |
Revenue: | 4.43B | 11.96B | 2.66B |
Gross Margin: | 0.87 | 0.49 | 0.61 |
EBITDA: | 1.50B | 2.49B | 591.79M |
Operating Margin: | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
Net Income: | 844.00M | 1.44B | 259.30M |
EPS: | 3.13 | 3.00 | 0.83 |
P/E: | 25.54 | 26.55 | 36.56 |
PEG (5 yr expected): | 1.71 | 2.44 | 1.65 |
P/S: | 5.09 | 3.17 | 3.07 |
Intuit has the highest P/S ratio among these three companies.
Here is a table of these competitors' insider activities this year.
Company | Insider buying / shares | Insider selling / shares |
ADP | 0 | 324,383 |
HRB | 0 | 0 |
Automatic Data Processing has also seen intensive insider selling during the last 30 days.
Conclusion
There
have been five different insiders selling Intuit, and there have not
been any insiders buying Intuit during the last 30 days. Four of these
five insiders decreased their holdings by more than 10%. Intuit has an
insider ownership of 4.68%.
Before going short Intuit, I would like to get a bearish confirmation from the
Point & Figure
chart. The two main reasons for the proposed short entry are a
relatively high P/S ratio, and the intensive insider-selling activity.
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